cropped-bull-and-bear-logo

AMD Earnings Surprise: Why Investors Are Torn Over Revenue Growth and Data-Center Woes

AMD Faces Pressure Despite Beating Revenue Expectations

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) is making waves in the stock market as its latest earnings report paints a mixed picture, fueling both excitement and concern among investors. While the company exceeded overall revenue expectations, it was let down by its data-center business, particularly in the AI accelerator segment. This has resulted in a roughly 9% decline in its stock during the extended trading session following the earnings release. Let’s break down the details.

Key Revenue Highlights

AMD delivered a solid performance with total revenue reaching $7.7 billion, surpassing the $7.5 billion consensus forecast. The impressive growth was primarily driven by AMD’s client business, which includes personal computers. This segment saw a remarkable increase of 58%, contributing $2.3 billion to the overall revenue, trumping expectations that were pegged at $1.9 billion.

Data-Center Business Under Pressure

In stark contrast, AMD’s data-center segment, even after showing a strong 69% increase to a record $3.9 billion, fell short of the Wall Street expectations of $4.1 billion. This discrepancy raises eyebrows as analysts, including Wolfe Research’s Chris Caso, have signaled concerns regarding the momentum and outlook of AMD’s data-center trajectory, particularly within the AI accelerator space. Caso had previously revised his AI revenue forecast down from $10 billion to just $7 billion for the year, reflecting skepticism in the market.

Future Outlook and Strategic Moves

Despite the current setbacks, AMD’s Chief Executive, Lisa Su, remains optimistic. While AMD refrained from providing a specific forecast for AI revenue in 2025, Su emphasized that recent advancements position AMD for “a steep long-term growth trajectory” in their data-center AI franchise, potentially expanding revenue from over $5 billion in 2024 to tens of billions annually in the coming years.

Management has also accelerated production shipments of the next-generation MI350 chip, designed for AI applications, targeting a mid-year launch. Su asserted this advancement “improves our relative competitiveness,” which could be a crucial factor in leveraging future demand.

Mixed Results in Gaming and Embedded Segments

Not all segments reflected growth, however. AMD’s gaming revenue saw a sharp decline of 59%, coming in at $563 million. This drop was attributed to diminishing semi-custom sales, reaffirming that this area faces sustained pressures. Likewise, the embedded business encountered a 13% decline in revenue, totaling $923 million, which the company characterized as ‘mixed’ end-market demand.

What’s Next for Traders?

Traders and investors must navigate AMD’s current challenges within the broader context of its overall performance. With its client business thriving and significant investments in AI and next-gen computing, AMD appears to be laying the groundwork for future growth despite the temporary turbulence.

Short-term traders may want to exercise caution, as the recent stock drop suggests a loss of momentum. However, long-term investors might see an opportunity to accumulate shares at a lower price point, given the potential AMD has outlined in its venture into AI-driven revenue streams.

Bottom Line

In conclusion, while AMD has shown commendable revenue growth in some segments, the underperformance in its data center and other key areas has pressured its stock. Keeping a close watch on AMD’s forward-looking strategy will be essential for traders looking to capitalize on any rebound or further downturns. As always, stay sharp and keep your charts updated. Happy trading!