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Trendsters, it's time to rethink that Fed obsession! The stock market might not need rate cuts as much as we thought. Sure, the interest rate chatter can be distracting, but remember – it's the economy that ultimately fuels those company profits.
Today, we're busting the myth that stocks can't thrive without the Fed's helping hand. We'll look at why a resilient economy could drive gains, even if those rate cuts stay on hold.
Of course, we haven't forgotten about our Chart of the Day. Get ready for a closer look at C3.ai – that Timed Cycles analysis is pointing to some intriguing possibilities. And as always, expect a few market-moving news bites and perhaps even a dash of trivia to spice up your trading day! |
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$25,000 into $109,616 in two months? |
Today I want to show you how our research shows you could’ve grown a $25,000 account into $109,616.12 within the last TWO months. You see, former multi-million dollar hedge fund manager Roger Scott spent the better half of 2023 developing what might be the most advanced trading tool that exists… It’s a revolutionary software system that tracks the moves of institutional investors…. in real time… Which means we can now pile into the same exact stocks institutions are buying or selling… as it’s happening. And in the last 2 months, this system has scored an insane 93.5% win rate across 60+ issued trade alerts… Giving over 450 regular traders like you a chance to nail 56 winners out of 60 issued trades.
Now I’m not promising you’ll get the same results… or that you won’t have any losses… But if you want to see how this new trading tool works plus get in on the very next trade…
Go here to watch the most recent trading workshop video at no charge. |
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The market took a breather today, with major indexes barely budging as investors hold their cards close ahead of this week's inflation data bonanza. Think of it as the calm before the potential storm – those CPI and PPI reports hold the power to shift sentiment dramatically. Market Movements at a Glance:
S&P 500® index (SPX): A slight dip of 1.95 points to 5,202.39. Dow Jones Industrial Average® ($DJI): A marginal decrease of 11.24 points to 38,892.80. Nasdaq Composite® ($COMP): A modest rise of 5.44 points to 16,253.96. 10-year Treasury note yield: Climbed over 4 basis points to 4.422%.
CboeVolatility Index® (VIX): Dropped 0.84 to 15.19. The recent jobs numbers put a damper on hopes for those Fed rate cuts, and now everyone's eyes are on inflation. Will it continue its hot streak, or could we see signs of cooling? The tension is palpable! Treasury yields kept climbing, mirroring the air of anticipation. This wasn't a day for bold moves, with most sectors hesitant to take center stage. The exception? Banking stocks showed signs of life, possibly thanks to easing worries about financial contagion.
Key takeaway? This week is all about data and the stories it spins around inflation. Strategies for the coming days will depend heavily on whether the numbers come in unexpectedly hot or surprisingly cool. Let's see what Wednesday and Thursday bring! |
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Why is 9:22am the Best Time of Day to Trade? |
If you haven’t gotten the results you want or deserve from your trading (yet)... This might be the answer. A 24-year trading veteran from Austin, Texas found a one-minute market window … And it opens every morning at the same time. This one minute window is exactly the time when the market makers “tip their hat” or (unintentionally) reveal the #1 stock of the day.
Tap here to find out more about this method today |
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The Gold Rush That Wasn't |
Remember when gold prices soared to record highs last week? Turns out, the biggest buyer wasn't some billionaire prepping for doomsday or a hedge fund manager betting on inflation gone wild. Nope, it was apparently China's central bank. Talk about a plot twist!
This brings to mind that old Wall Street adage: "There's always a bull market somewhere." But in this case, maybe it should be: "There's always a central bank buying something."
So, why all the gold love? Some analysts say it's about hedging against the U.S. dollar, others point to inflation paranoia. I'm putting my money on a classic case of shiny object syndrome... even central banks can fall prey to it, apparently!
Of course, this newfound gold fever could fizzle just as quickly as it appeared. Or maybe it's a hint there's a major shakeup brewing in those currency markets. As always, only time (and the next batch of economic data) will tell! |
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Think of C3.ai's chart as a bit of a time-travel experiment. Those timed cycles are like the DeLorean of stock analysis – they might not always get the timing perfect, but the potential for a thrilling move is there. My previous analysis hit the target, just with a detour along the way.
Currently, C3.ai looks a touch oversold, like it's taking a breather before revving up again. The "ghost feed" hints at a potential upswing followed by a pullback – classic market rhythm.
The Takeaway: Timing the market is tricky, but cycles can offer valuable clues. If you're in for a calculated swing trade, C3.ai might be worth a closer look. Just remember, even with advanced tech, the stock market doesn't always follow a predictable path! |
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| Tackle the Cost of Living Crisis with a Unique Trading Strategy |
Here’s one BIG reason why so many folks feel like they need to target extra income right now. Since the pandemic, the cost of living has gone skyward. It's out of control! In fact, in just the last year alone we saw the average cost of a new mortgage go from $1,427 all the way to $2,047 a month.
That's nearly a $600 increase every single month!
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The Rate Cut Debate: More Noise Than Substance?
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The Fed's rate cut dance continues, with some members hinting at a pause, and others still eyeing potential hikes. It's enough to give any investor whiplash. But while we obsess over those interest rate moves, the real story might be the economy's quiet resilience.
Let's be honest, the relationship between interest rates and market health is often oversimplified. Sure, rate cuts can act like an energy drink for stocks, but a strong economy is the heart that keeps them pumping. And right now, that heart seems surprisingly healthy.
Sure, a sudden rate hold could spook some investors, leading to a temporary hiccup in the market. But the bigger picture is what counts. Remember when everyone panicked about rate hikes sparking a recession? That didn't happen. And even those stubbornly high interest rates back in the 90s couldn't stop the market juggernaut.
The bottom line? Don't let the Fed's indecision distract you from the real growth drivers. A strong economy can fuel profits and boost stock prices, with or without a few rate tweaks. Keep an eye on the fundamentals, and you might just find those rate cut worries were little more than background noise. |
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Earnings Kick-off and Inflation Watch |
Analyst opinions are fueling stock swings this week. We saw upgrades boosting names like BJ's Wholesale Club and Fastly, while Kroger took a hit on a downgrade. And speaking of fuel – Tesla revved higher on robotaxi speculation.
Hold onto your hats... First-quarter earnings season officially launches this Friday with big banks like JPMorgan and Citigroup on deck. But the real headliner is this week's inflation data bonanza. The CPI and PPI reports follow that surprisingly strong jobs number, leaving everyone wondering – was it a fluke, or are prices still raging?
Remember, those inflation numbers have a direct line to the Fed's interest rate plans. Odds of a June rate cut are fading fast, and further hot inflation readings could push rate expectations even further into the future.
The Fed isn't the only central bank in focus. The European Central Bank's meeting this week could hint at their rate cut timeline, potentially beating the Fed to it. And while these central banks dance their interest rate ballet, keep an eye on the bigger picture: the global economy. Some signs point to a potential manufacturing rebound, a twist that could complicate the rate cut picture even further. Bottom line: This week, all roads lead to inflation. Expect some market jitters, but remember – earnings season and the global economic pulse deserve their share of attention too. |
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MARKET MUSINGS & TIME CAPSULE |
Random Musings: Financial Fortunes and Follies The Fed's crystal ball seems a little cloudy lately. One week it's hinting at rate cuts, the next it's flirting with hikes. Maybe those economic forecasts need a software update?
Ever notice how a strong economy seems to surprise everyone? Resilience is the most underrated market trait. Analysts upgrading or downgrading stocks always sound so confident. I wonder if they consult a Magic 8-Ball before hitting 'publish' on those reports... If history is any guide, waiting for the "perfect" moment to invest is a fool's errand. Time in the market beats timing the market, as the saying goes. The market's reaction to news is often as unpredictable as my teenager's mood swings. Buckle up for some volatility, my friends! On this day in history, April 9
April 9, 1939: On this day, the world witnessed the birth of a financial titan as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was established, ushering in a new era of market oversight and investor protection.
April 9, 1965: The first commercial computer software company, the Computer Software Company, was founded, paving the way for the digital revolution that would reshape the global economy.
April 9, 1917: The Battle of Vimy Ridge commenced, a pivotal moment in World War I that would later inspire the design of the iconic Canadian Victory Nickel, a numismatic treasure coveted by collectors.
April 9, 1913: The 17th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution was ratified, establishing the direct election of Senators – a democratic milestone that would ultimately shape the nation's economic policies for generations to come.
April 9, 1682: Robert Cavelier de La Salle, the renowned French explorer, claimed the vast Mississippi River basin for France, an audacious land grab that would eventually fuel economic expansion and trade in the nascent colonies. |
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It's an Economic Tug-o-War |
The Fed, the markets, inflation reports... it's all a bit of a dance, isn't it? One minute we're expecting rate cuts, the next we're bracing for hikes. Sometimes, the economy seems to defy all logic, stubbornly chugging along despite headwinds. But as legendary investor Peter Lynch once said, "Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves."
So, as we dive into another week of data drops and Fedspeak, remember: a little uncertainty is the price of admission to this market. Tune out the noise, focus on those long-term fundamentals, and avoid trying to predict every twist and turn. It's a recipe for a smoother ride... and potentially, a more profitable one. |
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Disclaimer:
Trading foreign exchange, stocks, options, or futures on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience.
This newsletter provides general information that does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. The content of this newsletter or our website must not be construed as personal advice. COE Media is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss in excess of your deposited funds and therefore, you should not speculate with capital that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. You should seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
Any past performance presented is not necessarily indicative of future success.
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