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Trendsters, tighten your seatbelts – the market’s got a surprise twist today! Remember the days of grandma’s apple pie and predictable Mondays? Toss ’em out the window, because the “Granny Effect” is shaking things up, proving even seniors can throw a curveball at Wall Street. Buckle down for insights on how your portfolio might mess with grandpa’s retirement plan.
But that’s not all! The “Chart of the Day” unveils Tesla’s triangle, not a hip new geometric tattoo, but a technical pattern hinting at a potential breakout. Bullish whispers or bear’s bluff? You decide!
And of course, we have our Market Roundup, where we recap the latest market events and data, and offer you some insights and strategies to help you survive the market’s challenges. Today, we’ll talk about how stocks ended mixed as some earnings disappointed, how the economy is showing signs of a soft landing, and how Treasury yields are affecting the market.
And of course, we have some fun and interesting trivia and facts for you along the way. So, without further ado, let’s get started!
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Secret Stock Calendar Revealed!
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Market expert Jack Carter may have just uncovered the biggest edge of his career…
He’s identified a hidden “calendar” of stock that, according to his research, have climbed like clockwork on the same day of the year, every year, for as many as ten years or more!
And he’s about to share his top ten trade ideas from this calendar with you — no strings attached!
All you have to do is join his imminent workshop…
So, click here and join Jack and his friend Garrett Baldwin right now!
These two brilliant market experts are about to give away one of the biggest breakthroughs I’ve ever heard of. Make sure you don’t miss it!
Disclaimer: The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims, and you may lose money. The trades expressed are from historical data in order to demonstrate the potential of the system.
By clicking the link above you agree to periodic updates from Jack Carter Trading and its partners (privacy policy)
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Today’s Market Mood: EXTREMELY BULLISH!
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Daily Market Roundup: Netflix Fuels the Fire, Earnings Season Heats Up
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Forget popcorn, Trendsters – Netflix served up a whole buffet of excitement yesterday, catapulting the streaming giant (NFLX) 11% higher and fueling another record run for the S&P 500. With paid subscriber numbers hitting a record near 261 million, it seems everyone’s binge-watching their way to new market highs.
But hold your applause for a second. While Netflix may be setting the stage for a blockbuster earnings season, the plot thickens when you dig deeper.Our research team reminds us that the “beat rate” for earnings – the percentage of companies exceeding analyst estimates – has dipped recently. This means that Netflix may be the star of the show, but the supporting cast needs to deliver too.
Speaking of sequels, keep your eyes peeled on tech titans like Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), and Alphabet (GOOGL) this week. Their performances will add crucial chapters to the earnings story, shaping the market’s next act.
Here’s where the major benchmarks ended:
- The S&P 500 index rose 3.95 points (0.1%) to 4,868.55
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 99.06 points (0.3%) to 37,806.39
- The Nasdaq Composite gained 55.97 points (0.4%) to 15,481.92
The 10-year Treasury note yield increased about 4 basis points to 4.18%, reflecting the expectations of higher inflation and interest rates in the future. The Cboe Volatility Index rose 0.59 to 13.14, indicating a slight increase in market uncertainty.
Tech-related strength also helped lift the Nasdaq-100, which includes the Nasdaq’s largest non-financial companies, by 0.6% to a record close. Energy shares were also strong, as WTI Crude Oil futures rose 1.4% and settled near a two-mont h high, after the Energy Information Administration reported a 7.5% drop in U.S. oil production last week, due to the winter storms. Small-cap shares lagged, as the Russell 2000 index fell 0.7%.
While the market dances to Netflix’s tune, don’t forget grandma’s footsteps nearby. Senior citizens’ investing choices, swayed by pensions and cautious feet, can create tremors unlike any bull or bear. We’ll dissect this “Granny Effect” soon, revealing its hidden moves and potential impact. Stay tuned, Trendsters, for wrinkles you haven’t seen on a chart before!
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Market Mischief: Netflix Up to Something With the Big Short?
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Did you hear Netflix just bought the rights to “The Big Short”? Apparently, they saw the whole “crashing market while investors watch in disbelief” thing as more of a reality show than a cautionary tale.
Don’t worry, Trendsters, even if the Dow Jones does a swan dive off the Empire State Building, we’ll have the popcorn ready. And maybe some extra Dramamine – just in case.
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$TSLA: Tesla’s Triangular Standoff – Breaking Up or Breaking Down?
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The Tesla chart this week resembles a poker player’s hand – concealed intentions shrouded in a triangle of indecision. Will it be a bullish bust-out or a bearish breakdown?
First, the psychological hand: Short sellers have been dealt a rough hand lately, hemorrhaging $12.2 billion last year alone. Retail and algos, smelling blood, could be itching for a long squeeze. Is this the moment they pounce?
Second, the long-term technicals: Tesla’s electric reign faces a cold reality. Those sleek Model 3s and Ys, while tempting to the masses, might stutter in winter’s icy grip. A 30% range reduction, as reported by CBS News, could leave 50-mile commutes feeling painfully chilly. Can Tesla thaw investor doubts?
Finally, the price action: This is where the rubber meets the road (pun intended, Elon!). The 61.8 Fibonacci level stands resolute, acting as a sturdy base for the triangle. Earnings are just two days away, likely causing some nervous pre-game jitters but no major fireworks. And don’t forget the Cybertruck deliveries quietly rumbling on – a potential holiday season surprise that could have been missed in October’s report.
So, what’s the play? Two scenarios emerge:
Positive earnings: We’ll see a retracement to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, potentially pushing past with a retest of late November/early December trading.
Mixed/negative earnings: The triangle’s lower bound will be tested, with strong support and resistance lines holding the fort until the investor call.
Just remember, Trendsters, even the best poker players can bluff only so long. Tesla’s true hand will be revealed soon enough. Keep your eyes peeled and your trading chips stacked.
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Just five companies, all heavily involved with AI, have boosted the major averages into bull market territory.
One of those stocks, Nvidia, was up 189% in the first half alone.
Nvidia is a legendary home run, but our Weiss Ratings AI specialist, Jon Markman, has homed in on one high-rated AI stock in particular
It’s our pick for The #1 AI Stock of 2024 and Beyond.
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The Granny Effect: Could Retirees Trigger a Domino Effect in the Market?
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Forget inflation and rate hikes, Trendsters. The stock market’s biggest hidden risk could be lurking in your grandpa’s retirement portfolio.
Yes, you read that right. According to Rosenberg Research, a whopping 80% of US stocks are nestled comfortably in the hands of Americans near retirement age. Sounds healthy, right? Not so fast. Because in a downturn, grandma might just become the ultimate bear.
Here’s the wrinkle: unlike younger investors, retirees don’t have the luxury of weathering a prolonged storm. David Rosenberg, the economist behind this grandma grenade, puts it bluntly: “If the market dives, these folks become sellers, not sitters.” And their rapid portfolio rebalancing could turn a dip into a freefall, dragging everyone else down with them.
But it’s not just Wall Street feeling the chill. Retirees’ panicked selling could also send tremors through the real economy. Think cruise lines emptier than a dentist’s waiting room, fancy restaurants echoing with tumbleweeds, and elective surgeries postponed indefinitely. Not exactly a recipe for growth.
So why are our senior citizens so heavily invested in volatile equities? It’s a longevity paradox. Living longer means needing higher returns to stretch retirement savings. Bonds, once the retiree’s best friend, simply don’t cut it anymore in this low-interest world.
This wasn’t always the case. Remember the ’90s, when grandpa swore by CDs and bonds? Fast forward to today, and boomer stock ownership has jumped a staggering 20 points since the pre-crisis days. Meanwhile, their love for fixed income has plateaued.
It’s a demographic trend with teeth, one that could send the market into a spiral if not carefully considered. Get ready, because while you’re glued to the next earnings release, remember, grandma might just be the wild card that shuffles the entire deck.
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Market Movers and Shakers: A Roundup of Earnings, Upgrades, and Economic Expectations
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Semiconductors Shine, Tech Stumbles: Tech giants had mixed fortunes this week, with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) soaring nearly 6% on an analyst upgrade touting its AI chip prowess, while Texas Instruments (TXN) slumped 2.5% on weaker-than-expected results. Meanwhile, chip equipment king ASML Holding (ASML) jumped 9% after smashing quarterly expectations.
Healthcare Blues: Consumer products giant Kimberly-Clark (KMB) and chemical company Dupont (DD) both suffered gut punches, tumbling 5.5% and 14%, respectively, after missing earnings targets. Abbott Laboratories (ABT) also stumbled 2.8% despite solid results, hinting at investor worry about their full-year guidance.
SAP Soars on AI Shift: German software giant SAP (SAP) defied the downward trend, rallying 7% and hitting a record high after announcing a major restructuring to focus on AI-driven business units. This growth-oriented move resonated with investors.
AT&T Falters on Forecast: The telecom giant missed Wall Street’s earnings expectations and lowered its 2024 outlook, causing shares to dip 3%. This serves as a reminder that even established players can face headwinds.
GDP and Inflation on Deck: Thursday brings the final two trading days of the week, packed with economic data that could shape expectations for the Fed’s next move. Investors will be eyeing Thursday’s GDP reading, expected to show a slowdown compared to the third quarter, and Friday’s PCE inflation data, which could hint at a potential easing of price pressures.
Fed Pivot in Sight? The recent spate of “better-than-expected” economic numbers has dampened hopes for an immediate Fed rate cut, with the odds of a March hold now nearing 60%. While a “soft landing” scenario seems increasingly likely, Cooper Howard of Schwab emphasizes that inflation must remain near target before rate cuts become a reality.
What to Watch: Thursday’s earnings calendar features Intel (INTC) alongside heavyweights in various sectors, while Friday’s GDP and PCE data will dominate attention. Keep your eyes peeled for any surprises that could shake the market’s current cautious optimism.
Bottom Line: This week offered a mixed bag of earnings and economic signals, keeping the market on its toes. The upcoming data releases could solidify the Fed’s trajectory, impacting investment decisions across the board. Stay informed, Trendsters, and navigate the market with prudence and a sharp eye for the next catalysts.
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Market Musings & Time Capsules
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Granny Goes Global: Forget Wall Street wolves, our next market wild card might wear bifocals. The “Granny Effect” has us wondering if retiree selling could trigger a domino effect.
Chip Showdown: While some chipmakers chip away, AMD and ASML stand tall, proving AI the hottest tech tango. But can Intel avoid the awkward two-step of missed guidance tomorrow?
Soft Landing, Hard Choices: This week’s GDP and inflation data could determine if the Fed’s rate-hike tango is nearing its final act. Will it be a graceful pirouette towards lower rates, or a clunky shuffle into more tightening?
Netflix in the Spotlight: With earnings season in full swing, everyone’s eyeing Netflix like the latest binge-worthy blockbuster. Can the streaming giant deliver a box-office performance and keep the market’s upward spiral spinning?
Market Mischief: Heard the one about the bear who shorted Tesla during a power outage? He got a 30% range reduction on his portfolio. We’ll have more market humor (hopefully less painful) coming your way soon.
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On this day in history, January 25
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1905: The Cullinan Diamond, the largest rough diamond ever found, shines onto the scene in South Africa. Talk about a rock-solid investment (if you could afford it)!
1924: The first Winter Olympics kick off in Chamonix, France. A reminder that even in the financial world, sometimes you need to swap spreadsheets for slopes (figuratively, of course).
1949: The first Emmy Awards take center stage, celebrating excellence in television. Now, if only there were an award for the most creative market analysis… hint hint.
1971: Idi Amin seizes power in Uganda, marking a turbulent chapter in the country’s history. A reminder that geopolitics can sometimes throw the markets a curveball.
2001: The world loses Luciano Pavarotti, the legendary opera tenor. His powerful voice still resonates today, a testament to the enduring power of passion, whether in music or investing.
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The Final Ledger: Dow Wobbles, Grandma Plots, Netflix Worth the Binge?
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The Dow today did the financial equivalent of a shrug, inching lower as grandma contemplated a portfolio shuffle. Tech titans like AMD and ASML, however, defied gravity’s pull, proving AI’s still the hottest playground in town. Can Intel avoid the banana peel of missed guidance on Thursday?
This week’s GDP and inflation data could be the curtain call for the Fed’s rate-hike drama. Will they bow gracefully towards lower rates, or encore with a tighter grip? Meanwhile, all eyes are glued to Netflix, the market’s latest binge-worthy thriller. Can they deliver a blockbuster performance and keep the upward spiral going?
Remember, even the best investors need a mental vacation from the ticker tape. So grab your binoculars, scan the horizon, and enjoy the ride. After all, as the old saying goes, “The market may be a bumpy bus ride, but at least the scenery keeps changing.”
That’s it for today’s Final Ledger. Stay tuned for more market insights and updates in the next edition of Traders on Trend. Until then, happy trading!
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